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The paradox of global thrift
Federica Romei  1, 2@  , Luca Fornaro@
1 : Federica Romei
2 : Stockholm School of Economics

This paper describes a paradox of global thrift. Consider a world in which interest rates arelow and monetary policy is constrained by the zero lower bound. Now imagine that governments implement prudential financial and fiscal policies to stabilize the economy. We show that these policies, while effective from the perspective of individual countries, might backfire if applied on a global scale. In fact, prudential policies generate a rise in the global supply of savings and a drop in global aggregate demand. Weaker global aggregate demand depresses outputin countries at the zero lower bound. Due to this effect, non-cooperative financial and fiscal policies might lead to a fall in global output and welfare.


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